Take Poll Data With A Grain Of Salt
Balderdash.
Not only is it 3.5 months until the election -- and most Americans are enjoying sun, BBQ and beer -- but small swings in polling numbers aren't usually very revealing, given the margin of error in all political polling. Trends are important, but poll-to-poll results, not so much.
Now might be a good time to review tips on judging poll validity.

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