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2005 Overview

2008 Presidential Election


25 August 2005

The 2008 US presidential election will be held on 4 November 2008. It will determine the 44th President of the United States. The winner will be sworn in on 20 January 2009. Amendment XXII to the US Constitution. prohibits President Bush from seeking a third term.

Likely Candidates
Often the party holding the White House will nominate the Vice President as its candidate. This has held true for the prior three eight-year administrations: Richard Nixon (R-1960) , George H. W. Bush (R-1988) and Al Gore (D-2000). However, in 2001, Vice President Cheney announced that he would not run for President. Regardless, Bob Woodward predicts Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee and Dick Cheney, the Republican.

Because President Bush cannot run and Vice President Cheney says he will not run, the 2008 election could be the first since since 1928 with neither the sitting president or sitting vice president as a presidential candidate.

The awareness building and fund raising required to run a successful campaign means that candidates should emerge in 2006 and 2007. Party conventions will choose their candidates late June – late August, 2008.

Possible Democratic Candidates:
  • Evan Bayh, Indiana, former governor (1988-1996) and currently US senator (1998-). His father, Birch E. Bayh II, was Indiana's Senator from 1963 to 1981 and was a candidate for the Democratic nomination for president in 1976.
  • Joe Biden, Delaware, US senator (1973-) and 1988 presidential candidate.
  • Wesley Clark, Arkansas, retired United States Army four-star general, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO, and 2004 presidential candidate.
  • Hillary Rodham Clinton, New York, US senator (2000-) and former First Lady of the United States.
  • John Edwards, North Carolina, former US senator and 2004 Democratic vice presidential nominee.
  • Russ Feingold, Wisconsin, US senator (1992-).
  • Al Gore, Tennessee, former U.S. vice president and the 2000 Democratic presidential nominee.
  • John Kerry, Massachusetts, US senator (1984-) and 2004 Democratic presidential nominee.
  • Bill Richardson, New Mexico, governor and former US ambassador to the United Nations.
  • Al Sharpton, New York, Pentecostal minister and candidate for the 2004 nomination.
  • Mark Warner, Virginia, governor.
Possible Republican Candidates:
  • George Felix Allen, Virginia, US senator (2000-) and former governor.
  • Sam Brownback, Kansas, US senator (1996-).
  • Bill Frist, Tennessee, U.S. Senate (1998-2006) Majority Leader .
  • Rudy Giuliani, New York, former mayor of New York City.
  • Mike Huckabee, Arkansas, governor.
  • John McCain, Arizona, US senator (1986-) and 2000 presidential candidate.
  • George Pataki, New York, governor.
  • Tim Pawlenty, Minnesota, governor.
  • Mike Pence, Indiana, US congressman (2000-).
  • Condoleezza Rice, currently US secretary of state.
  • Mitt Romney, Massachusetts, governor.
  • Rick Santorum, Pennsylvania, US senator (1998-).
  • Tom Tancredo, Colorado, US congressman (1998-).
Other Possible Candidates:
  • Greens: Rebecca Rotzler, New York, deputy mayor of New Paltz.
  • Independents: Jesse Ventura, Minnesota, former governor. Vince McMahon, Connecticut, owner and CEO of World Wrestling Entertainment.
  • Libertarian: Michael Badnarik, Texas, 2004 Libertarian Party presidential nominee.
Opinion Polls
An August 2005 CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll (MoE ± 5) showed that Rudy Giuliani (27%) , John McCain (24%) and Condoleezza Rice (19%) had the most support among nine Republican candidates [Virginia Senator George Allen, Kansas Senator Sam Brownback, Tennessee Senator Bill Frist, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel, Arizona Senator John McCain, New York Governor George Pataki, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney].

The top three Democratic candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton (40%) , John Kerry (16%) and John Edwards (15%) ; there were eight candidates in the survey (Indiana Senator Evan Bayh, Delaware Senator Joe Biden, retired general Wesley Clark, New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, former North Carolina senator John Edwards, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, Virginia Governor Mark Warner). A June FOX poll had similar result for the Democratic nominees.

A July 2005 Gallup poll matched Democrat Hillary Clinton against Republican John McCain. With a ME +/- 4%, this survey showed 50% leaning towards McCain and 45% leaning towards Clinton.

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