A Reminder About Political Polls and Media Prognosticators

I know New Hampshire is not the presidential election, but I simply can't resist: From the Library of Congress:

Weeks prior to the 1948 election, many leading editorial writers and political columnists relied on early Gallup Polls, which predicted Thomas E. Dewey's win over incumbent Harry S. Truman. Truman's strategy was to bypass the press by taking his case to the people in a "whistlestop" campaign. An issue of the early edition of the Chicago Daily Tribune was handed to Truman after the election. The headline declared "Dewey Defeats Truman." Truman upset Dewey despite having the support of only 15 percent of the nation's daily papers.

See

• What Can We Learn From Iowa 2004?
• (Political) Eyes on New Hampshire
• Ohio Mandates Paper Ballots For Primary
• See This Treatise on Electronic Voting